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English Championship Football Betting Strategies – Expected Goals Predictions *This Time it Works!*

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I’m revisiting the xG model in this video, using the fixtures from The EFL Championship on 22/02/22 as examples.

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In a previous video on xG it appears that some of the formulas were incorrect meaning we didn’t get much of a difference between the xG odds and the Poisson Odds. I was a little surprised by this and it took one of our members to point out that it was because I’d messed it up! Apologies!

So in this video we see a much bigger swing, particularly in two or three of the matches which certainly makes for interesting viewing and gives food for thought when using goals as a measure for creating odds.

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